After days of negotiations to resolve the ILA port strike, the White House pressed shipping CEOs to reopen ports and accelerate recovery efforts following a devastating hurricane. Acting Secretary of Labor Julie Su and other officials convinced carriers to present a higher wage offer to the union. This led to a tentative agreement, with ILA workers expected to return to work by Friday. The strike had halted operations at 36 key ports, affecting the flow of goods and causing concerns about economic disruptions.

The new deal, which sources close to the talks said came together quickly, provides a pay raise of 61%, or $4 per hour over each of the six years of the pact, and extends the master contract to Jan. 15, 2025, to allow the sides to negotiate outstanding issues. A final agreement would still have to be ratified by union members.

While the strike was brief, its impact was significant, with over 45 ships unable to unload and analysts estimating daily losses of $5 billion to the U.S. economy. Business leaders welcomed the deal, emphasizing that reopening ports was essential to safeguard supply chains and jobs. The agreement still needs to be ratified by ILA members, but this development, along with White House intervention, helped prevent further economic strain and ensured a return to normal port operations.

Articles & Additional Resources

Striking port workers return to work Friday as negotiators reach an agreement on wages 
Striking members of the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) will be back to work on Friday, the union announced Thursday evening, as it reached a tentative deal with the management group representing shipping lines, terminal operators and port authorities.
Read More

US port workers and operators reach deal to end East Coast strike immediately
U.S. dock workers and port operators reached a tentative deal that will immediately end a crippling three-day strike that has shut down shipping on the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast, the two sides said Thursday.
Read More

Port strike ends as ILA, USMX agree on hefty wage hike, contract extension
The short-lived strike by dockworkers that shut down East and Gulf Coast ports came to an end late Thursday when the International Longshoremen’s Association and the United States Maritime Alliance announced they had come to a tentative agreement on wages and an extension of the master contract.
Read More

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Update: ILA Strike

On October 1, dockworkers on the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast launched their first major strike in nearly 50 years, shutting down operations at 36 key ports from Maine to Texas. The International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA), representing 45,000 workers, initiated the strike after negotiations with the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) failed over disputes on wages and port automation. The USMX had offered a nearly 50% wage increase over six years, but the ILA rejected the proposal, stating it did not meet workers’ demands. The strike is expected to cause significant disruptions to supply chains, impacting food, automobiles, and retail goods as billions of dollars in trade are stalled.

The strike comes at a crucial time for retailers preparing for the holiday season, many of whom had already rerouted shipments to the West Coast to mitigate potential delays. While the U.S. government, including President Biden’s administration, is closely monitoring the situation, they have ruled out using federal powers to end the strike. Analysts warn that even a short strike could lead to prolonged backlogs, while a more extended stoppage could have a ripple effect on global trade and inflation. Some economists project the strike could cost the U.S. economy billions per day, adding pressure on both sides to reach a swift resolution.

East and Gulf Coast ports strike, with ILA longshoremen walking off job from New England to Texas, stranding billions in trade.
Billions in trade came to a screeching halt at U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast ports after members of the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) began walking off the job after 12:01 a.m. ET on October 1. The ILA is North America’s largest longshoremen’s union, with roughly 50,000 of its 85,000 members making good on the threat to strike at 14 major ports subject to a just-expired master contract with the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX), and picketing workers beginning to appear at ports. The union and port ownership group failed to reach agreement by midnight on a new contract in a protracted battle over wage increases and use of automation.
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US East Coast Dockworkers strike, halting half the nation’s ocean shipping
NEW YORK, Oct 1 (Reuters) – Dockworkers on the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast began a strike early on Tuesday, their first large-scale stoppage in nearly 50 years, halting the flow of about half the nation’s ocean shipping after negotiations for a new labor contract broke down over wages.
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Ripple Effect of Port Closures

1. Disruption of Cargo Flow:
Ports on the U.S. East and Gulf Coasts handle about half of the nation’s ocean shipping. A strike would bring container traffic to a standstill at major ports from Maine to Texas, including key hubs like New York, Baltimore, and Houston.
Essential goods, including food, medical supplies, electronics, automobiles, and retail items, will face delays, potentially leading to shortages in various sectors. Nearly 100,000 containers stored at ports will remain untouched, and new arrivals will be anchored at sea until the strike ends, severely delaying supply chains.

2. Economic Impact:
The strike could cost the U.S. economy approximately $5 billion per day, as estimated by JP Morgan analysts, leading to widespread disruptions in businesses reliant on ocean freight.
Industries like manufacturing and retail, which depend on timely shipments of raw materials and finished goods, could see production delays and cost increases, as companies may need to resort to more expensive shipping alternatives.
Increased costs for transportation, driven by supply shortages, could stoke inflation and raise prices for consumers, exacerbating the economic strain already felt in various sectors.

3. Supply Chain Strain:
The manufacturing sector, which relies heavily on imported components, will face serious challenges. Key industries like automotive, electronics, and construction may experience material shortages that could halt production. Retailers who import seasonal goods, such as holiday merchandise, might face stockouts, particularly those who haven’t built up inventories ahead of the strike. Even large retailers like Walmart and Costco are preparing for delays. The flow of exported goods will also be interrupted, impacting U.S. producers who depend on these ports to ship goods to global markets.

4. Shipping Industry Costs and Profits:
Ocean carriers could face logistical bottlenecks as ships are forced to wait at anchor or reroute to alternative ports, increasing fuel and operational costs. Shipping rates, which have already been volatile, could surge further, driving up prices for businesses and consumers alike. The ILA has accused carriers of price gouging, with container shipping costs reportedly rising sharply in recent weeks. Steamship Lines to implement Port Disruption surcharges moving to and from US East and Gulf coast terminals. Read More

5. Potential for Longer-Term Impacts:
If the strike is prolonged, the ripple effects could have more severe long-term consequences for global supply chains, with backlogs taking months to clear. International trade partners who rely on U.S. ports for exports and imports will also feel the impact, possibly leading to shifts in global shipping patterns as companies seek alternative routes or ports.

ILA Strike: Additional Reading and Rescources

ILA Strike – Guide to Dealing with Port Disruption
The International Longshoremen Association is likely to strike on October 1, 2024, shutting down many U.S. ports. Here’s our comprehensive guide to dealing with the disruption.
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The shipping industry is currently navigating a volatile landscape, driven by global economic factors and looming disruptions. As East Coast ports face the potential of an International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) strike, shippers are eyeing potential surcharges for mid-October. This uncertainty is causing a shift in volumes toward West Coast ports, particularly as rates on Asia to North America routes continue to decline ahead of the Golden Week holiday (October 1–7, 2024). In contrast, the Europe to North America trade lane is witnessing steady demand, with a potential rise in rates expected for October, driven by strong carrier utilization.

The Indian Subcontinent to U.S. East Coast rates have also taken a hit, largely due to concerns over the possible strike, while Asia to Europe markets are declining in preparation for Golden Week. As shipping volumes slow and carriers adjust schedules, stakeholders must brace for fluctuating rates and strategic shifts as we enter Q4 and beyond.

MARKET WATCH

Ocean Freight

East Coast Port Strike

Please see our focus piece on all things EC strike and ILA.

Asia to North America

Rates continue to decline with no pre-Golden Week surge, as volumes shift to West Coast ports. Potential port surcharges may occur in mid-October due to a possible ILA work stoppage. Golden Week is from October 1-7, 2024. Ocean freight rates are extended until October 14, with further reductions likely for the U.S. Southwest, East Coast, and Gulf Coast.

In Q4, we expect high volumes driven by the U.S. elections, potential 2025 tariffs, and an early Lunar New Year, though demand remains flat.

Indian Subcontinent

Container freight rates from the Indian Subcontinent to the US East Coast fell in the week ending Sept. 20, driven by concerns over a potential strike on the US East Coast. Demand from India and Asia slowed, prompting carriers to adjust rates. Rates for Canadian ports like Halifax, which had previously risen, also dropped, as it was deemed unlikely to serve as an alternative if the strike occurs due to potential congestion. Rates from North Asia to the Indian Subcontinent also declined, with carriers offering competitive prices to fill vessels. Meanwhile, short-haul rates from West Coast India to the Middle East remained stable but slightly decreased as seasonal cargo shipments slowed.

Asia to Europe

European container markets continued to decline as shippers prepared for the Chinese Golden Week holidays. Early peak season planning led to a slowdown in freight movement, exacerbated by longer transits due to Red Sea diversions. Rates into North Europe dropped significantly, with westbound movements from Asia falling on the week, though still much higher year-on-year due to container ship rerouting. Similar trends were seen in rates into the Mediterranean, which also declined. Experts anticipate rates will stabilize after the holiday season, as carriers implement blank sailings to manage supply amid weak demand.

Air Freight

Asia to North America/Europe

Global air cargo rates continue to rise in line with holiday season.

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The International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) faces a critical moment as its labor contract with the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) is set to expire at the end of September 2024, potentially sparking a strike. The ILA represents over 70,000 dockworkers across 36 coastal ports in the U.S. and Canada, including major hubs like New York, New Jersey, Savannah, and Houston. If an agreement is not reached, the strike could begin on October 1, 2024, causing widespread disruption to the shipping industry and supply chains. This event echoes a long history of labor struggles, with key issues centering around wages, job security, and the threat of automation.

Background of the Negotiations

The current ILA-USMX negotiations began in February 2023, focusing on contentious topics such as wage increases and the use of automated technology at port terminals. ILA President Harold J. Daggett has been a staunch opponent of automation, which he views as a direct threat to dockworkers’ jobs. He believes that USMX, including major shipping companies like Maersk, has violated the current labor agreement by using automated technology at terminals without union consent. Despite Maersk’s claims of compliance, this accusation heightened tensions, leading to a suspension of negotiations in July 2023.

Daggett has maintained that the ILA will strike if their demands, particularly regarding wages and job security, are not met. The ILA is demanding a wage increase to address inflation and the rising cost of living, while fiercely resisting any form of automation. On the other hand, USMX has emphasized its desire to avoid a strike, urging a return to the negotiating table. They have pointed out that the current contract prohibits the introduction of fully automated terminals without mutual agreement, and thus far, no breach of this agreement has occurred.

Core Issues: Wages and Automation

The two most significant issues in the current dispute are wages and automation. The ILA is seeking substantial wage increases, with reports indicating that they may be asking for as much as a 78% increase. However, Daggett has refuted these figures, clarifying that even a $5 hourly wage increase over a six-year contract would only amount to an average annual increase of about 10%. He has also accused USMX of making inadequate offers, given the substantial profits generated by the shipping companies.

The issue of automation is equally critical. Daggett has made it clear that the ILA will not accept any automation that could lead to job losses, even semi-automated systems. This hardline stance reflects the broader labor movement’s concerns about the future of work in industries where technological advancements threaten traditional labor roles. Many in the industry view the ILA’s opposition to automation as a potential rollback of earlier agreements, setting up a battle over the future of dockwork.

Political and Economic Implications

The potential strike has attracted the attention of the White House and various political figures, with shippers calling for federal intervention to prevent disruptions at major ports along the East and Gulf Coasts. The Biden administration has expressed a commitment to finding a resolution, but it has ruled out invoking the Taft-Hartley Act to force workers back to their jobs in the event of a strike. In recent comments, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg acknowledged the gravity of the situation but emphasized that a resolution must be reached through negotiations between the ILA and USMX.

A strike would have profound economic consequences, especially given the scale of the ILA’s reach. 43% to 49% of all U.S. imports flow through the East and Gulf Coast ports, and a strike would lead to significant delays and backlogs, particularly during the holiday shopping season. Steve Lamar, president of the American Association of Footwear and Apparel (AAFA), warned that a prolonged strike could create chaos in North America’s container supply chains, potentially causing lasting damage to these ports’ business.

Port executives, such as Beth Rooney, director of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, have already begun preparations for a potential work stoppage. This includes plans to manage cargo movements and prevent terminal pile-ups. With 147 vessels carrying over $34.3 billion worth of freight en route to the East Coast and Gulf ports by October 1, the economic stakes are immense.

Support from the ILWU

The ILA is not facing this struggle alone. The International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU), which represents West Coast dockworkers, has expressed its full support for the ILA’s position. ILWU International President Willie Adams has pledged solidarity, emphasizing the unions’ shared opposition to automation and determination to protect dockworker jobs. The support from the ILWU, whose own contract remains in place until 2028, strengthens the ILA’s bargaining position.

The last time the ILA went on strike was in 1977, and a new strike would be the first multicoast labor action in over four decades. The consequences of such a strike would ripple through the U.S. economy, causing disruptions in supply chains that could take months to resolve.

Strategic Responses from the Shipping Industry

In anticipation of a potential strike, many shipping companies and port authorities are already taking steps to mitigate the impact. For example, some ocean carriers have begun embargoing export cargo to East Coast ports from the Midwest to prevent further congestion. Ports like Houston and New York/New Jersey have developed contingency plans, which include extended gate hours and efforts to clear cargo before the October 1 deadline. Long Beach Port in California has reported an uptick in freight, suggesting that some businesses are diverting shipments to the West Coast to avoid potential disruptions.

Many transport companies are also adjusting their operations to prepare for the strike. Some are using transloading techniques, moving containers from West Coast ports via rail and trucks to the East Coast, while others are relying on airfreight as a more expensive but faster alternative for time-sensitive goods.

The Road Ahead

As the deadline looms, the ILA’s determination to strike unless their demands are met suggests that the U.S. shipping industry is facing a significant challenge. The implications of a strike extend beyond just the ports and shipping companies; industries that depend on a smooth flow of goods, including retail, automotive, and agriculture, will likely be severely impacted. Agricultural exporters, in particular, could suffer heavy losses if their products rot on the docks or are delayed in transit.

The stakes are high for both the union and the shipping industry. A strike would have widespread economic consequences, potentially disrupting supply chains and costing billions of dollars. With automation, wages, and job security at the heart of the dispute, the ILA is determined to secure a deal that protects its members in the face of technological change.

The outcome of these negotiations will not only shape the future of the ILA but could also set a precedent for other labor unions in the transportation and logistics sectors. If a strike occurs, it will be the first multi-coast action since 1977, and its impact on the U.S. economy could be significant.

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We can thank Temu and Shein for this.  Just Kidding.  Sort of.

The influx of cheap goods from overseas is hardly a new trend.  It’s one of the many reasons why global trade exists.  But with e-commerce booming and Section 301 tariffs on Chinese goods, some clever players found ways to dodge duties. By shipping directly to consumers or setting up nearby distribution hubs, importers have avoided paying over 25% tariffs on low-value items like apparel and housewares.

That’s where the de minimis rule comes in. Since the 1930s, this rule has allowed low-value goods (under $800 in the US, Under CAD 15 in Canada, and Under EUR 150 in the EU refer to this link for other De Minimus rules) to enter the U.S. duty-free. It was a trade-off – the cost of taxing small shipments wasn’t worth the effort. But now, thanks to the surge in e-commerce – US imports jumped from 140 million packages a year to more than a billion in just 12 months – this rule is under review—and some big changes might be coming.

What is the De Minimis Rule Today? 

As of now, shipments valued at $800 or less avoid duties and taxes when entering the U.S. (Fun fact: it was raised from $200 in 2016). While it’s great for consumers, it’s been a loophole for foreign e-commerce giants, especially from China. This has led to safety risks, IP violations, and unfair competition for U.S. businesses.

What’s Likely to Change? 

The Biden-Harris Administration has proposed reform to tighten things up:

  1. Loss of Duty-Free Benefits: Shipments containing products subject to tariffs under “Sections 201, 301, or 232” of the Trade Act may no longer qualify for the de minimis exemption. This particularly targets goods from China, such as textiles and apparel, which account for a large share of low-cost imports.  If your products are subject to these tariffs say good-bye to this duty-free perk.
  2. Increased Trade Compliance Requirements: New proposals may require more detailed information for de minimis shipments, such as “10-digit tariff classification numbers” and the identity of the party claiming the exemption. This would allow for better enforcement of U.S. trade laws and health and safety standards.  This could increase your administrative burden, making compliance more complex and potentially slowing down your operations.
  3. Enhanced Safety Compliance: The “Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC)” is working on a rule that would require electronic Certificates of Compliance (CoCs) to be filed at the time of entry, even for de minimis shipments, to ensure products meet U.S. safety standards.
  4. Potential Delays: With U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) aiming to block unsafe or non-compliant products, there may be increased inspections and delays in clearing goods at the border.

When Could These Changes to the De Minimis Rule Take Effect? 

While the administration is moving forward with regulatory actions, “congressional approval is needed” for comprehensive reforms. A proposed timeline suggests the “end of 2024” as a likely target for new legislation. However, some changes, such as the rulemaking around tariffs and documentation, could be in place “within the next 6 to 12 months”, as these do not require legislative action.

What steps can your business take? 

Given the potential changes, businesses, particularly those in e-commerce and international trade, should take proactive steps to prepare.

  1. Product Line Review: If your business imports products, especially from China, check whether your goods might be affected by changes to the de minimis exemption.
  2. Be Transparent with Product Valuation: Make sure you’re accurately reporting the value of imports to avoid compliance issues if documentation requirements become stricter.
  3. Cost and Pricing Pressures: If the reforms lead to higher duties and compliance costs, it could impact your pricing, potentially squeezing margins or requiring you to pass some costs onto consumers.
  4. Flexible Supply Chains Win: This is key during periods of volatility and protectionism in trade markets.  Look to sources from countries other than China and create capacity in your supply chain to fulfill orders within the geography of the US.  Stay informed as regulatory changes could happen quickly and understanding how new rules affect your business will be critical to avoiding disruption.
  5. Join the Conversation: Collaborating with industry bodies or legal advisors can help you stay ahead of the curve and potentially influence the direction of proposed changes.

ONLY THE PARANOID SURVIVE

As the U.S. government cracks down on de minimis abuses, businesses that rely on the de minimis rule should start preparing now, anticipating changes that may add complexity and cost to importing low-value goods. By staying informed and proactive, companies can adapt and continue to thrive in this evolving environment.

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As of September 2024, the freight market is navigating a dynamic and challenging environment influenced by various global factors. Sea freight is experiencing rate fluctuations and potential disruptions due to an impending East Coast port strike and the possibility of an International Longshoremen’s Association strike, with significant impacts expected on both trans-Atlantic and trans-Pacific routes. The ongoing decline in rates from Asia to North America and India, coupled with shifting demand patterns in Europe, is shaping the market. Meanwhile, the air freight sector is bracing for an unprecedented peak season driven by a surge in holiday e-commerce and the launch of new high-profile products like Apple’s iPhone 16. As the industry adapts to these evolving conditions, strategic planning and timely bookings will be crucial for navigating the complexities ahead.

MARKET WATCH

Ocean Freight

Asia to North America
Rates continue to decline despite the prospect of a looming strike on the EC.  Significant blank sailing announcements and rates will likely hold firm until 09/30. Golden Week – 10/1/24 – 10/7/24 – Please book freight in advance.

Europe to North America
The North Continent to East Coast North American trans-Atlantic route experienced continued demand growth supported by capacity management and sourcing shifts from Asia to the EU, as well as importers advancing orders ahead of the potential International Longshoremen’s Association strike on Oct. 1.  In the event of a strike carriers will offer services via Canada, but space/connections are limited and may not absorb all volume.

India to North America
Rates continue to decline.

Asia to Europe
European container markets continue to see a decline as imports imported holiday goods in advance.

East Coast Port Strike
Please see our focus piece on all things EC strike and ILA.

Air Freight

Asia to North America/Europe
Sources are saying that air peak will be unprecedented due to ecommerce surge for holidays as well as Red Sea diversion.  Apple’s iPhone 16 launch begins shipping this month.

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📰 IN OTHER NEWS…

Oil Tanker Attacked by Houthis Is at Risk of Leaking n Red Sea
The Sounion is carrying a million barrels of oil and U.N. group warns that a spill could devastate the coasts of Red Sea countries
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Container manufacturers tell customers they are ‘sold out’ until mid-October.
Drewry says it expects 2024 to be the second-highest year on record for dry freight container production, with manufacturers reporting full orderbooks.
Read More

Ocean carriers ‘fire blanks’ ahead of China’s Golden Week holiday.
Fearing another container spot rate crash, ocean carriers have blanked a number of export sailings from Asia to Europe and Asia to the US, prior to the Chinese national holiday in early October.
Read More

Wan Hai has been invited to join a shipping alliance, reveals GM
Despite the correction in freight rates, Wan Hai Lines’ general manager, Tommy Hsieh, is optimistic about container shipping’s profitability carrying into 2025.
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MSC to partner with new Asian container alliance.
The three Asian container lines ONE, HMM and Yang Ming will continue their cooperation under their name Premier Alliance after Hapag-Lloyd’s departure
Read More

FCM approves Gemini Cooperation despite anti-competitive ‘concerns’
The Federal Maritime Commission (FMC) has admitted to “questions and concerns” over whether the Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd Gemini Cooperation will have anti-competitive consequences.
Read More

Potential port strike has retailers, manufacturers scrambling
Retailers and manufacturers are seeking to mitigate a potentially multibillion-dollar hit if members of the International Longshoremen’s Association go on strike beginning Oct. 1 at 13 of the nation’s major East Coast and Gulf Coast ports.
Read More

ILA readiness to strike highest since 2012
A FreightWaves article on Tuesday discussed the circumstances leading to the International Longshoremen’s Association’s (ILA) last multicoast strike in 1977. We noted how the ILA — which represents dockworkers at ports along the East and Gulf coasts — is one of the less strike-prone unions in the industry.
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What to know about ILA demands in potential port strike
It was 1977 since the last strike by the International Longshoremen’s Association, which represents unionized workers at ports on the U.S. East and Gulf coasts. The United States Maritime Alliance (USMX), representing 40 ocean carriers and terminal operators, has successfully negotiated 10 straight master contracts without a work stoppage with the ILA.
Read More

Trump’s tariff plan will cause another massive Asia-US freight rate spike
US presidential hopeful Donald Trump’s promise to impose a 20% tariff on all imports entering the country, as well as 60%-100% imports levied on Chinese goods, could throw the transpacific trade into a renewed rate spike.
Read More

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Visibility done right so that you can manage compliance, budget and expectations. Empowering you to confidently control your supply chain and deliver happiness to your customers.

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We are ready to help

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As we approach Labor Day and the unofficial end of summer here in the Northeast, it’s an opportune time to reflect on the significance of this holiday and the importance of taking time off from work. Labor Day is more than just a long weekend; it’s a celebration of workers’ contributions to our society. It’s a reminder that there are humans behind the screen. Slowing down, resting, and relaxing are all necessary, not a luxury.

The Value of Time Off

In a world that’s focused on productivity, efficiency, and getting things done, it’s easy to get caught in the hamster wheel, AKA the grind. We often push ourselves to the limit, believing constant work is the only path to success. From experience, I can tell you it isn’t, and burnout is real. I’ll say it again, taking time off is not just a luxury—it’s a necessity for maintaining long-term productivity and well-being. It’s a necessity to take care of yourself and your loved ones. Sometimes, slowing down is the best way to speed up.

The Benefits of Taking Time Off

Regular breaks and vacations can increase efficiency and creativity. When we step away from our daily routines, we give our minds a chance to recharge, often leading to fresh perspectives and innovative ideas upon return. Unsurprisingly, we often come up with our best ideas while walking in nature or in the shower. Here are just a few more benefits of taking much needed time off:

Improved Health

Continuous work without adequate rest can lead to burnout, stress, and health issues. Taking time off allows us to relax, reduce stress levels, and focus on our overall well-being, ultimately contributing to a healthier, more balanced life.

Stronger Relationships

Time off provides an opportunity to reconnect with family and friends. Building and nurturing personal relationships are essential for a well-rounded life and can contribute to a more fulfilling and supportive work environment.

Learning Something New

Time off allows us to work on other parts of our brain. Maybe it’s cooking, painting, reading, or creative writing.

Travel

Travel is one of the best ways to learn about other cultures and places. Something happens to our brains when we experience a new place or culture for the first time. It’s the best education to see for yourself what a place is all about!

Increased Job Satisfaction

When employees see their well-being is valued and supported, it fosters a positive work culture and boosts morale. This, in turn, can lead to greater job satisfaction and loyalty.

CargoTrans Encourages Time Off

As a leader, I believe it’s important to lead by example. I encourage all our team members to take full advantage of their vacation time and to disconnect from work when they do. It’s crucial for everyone to set boundaries and prioritize personal time, knowing that our commitment to our roles does not diminish by taking necessary breaks. This does require good communication and planning, especially in smaller organizations and teams. Healthy teams support each other to take time off.

This Labor Day, let’s take a moment to appreciate the hard work that everyone puts into their roles and recognize the importance of balancing that effort with well-deserved rest. Enjoy the holiday, recharge, and return with renewed energy and enthusiasm.

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As the global logistics landscape continues to shift, several key developments are shaping the movement of goods across various regions. From changes in General Rate Increases (GRI) affecting Asia to North America routes to significant disruptions in Canadian rail operations, the current environment presents both challenges and opportunities. This update provides a detailed look at the latest trends and issues impacting sea and air freight, including anticipated rate adjustments, infrastructure projects, and capacity concerns across major trade routes. Stay informed to navigate these evolving conditions effectively and optimize your shipping strategies.

MARKET WATCH

Asia to North America
Asia to North America – Not content with the failure of August 15’s GRI, carriers are trying to implement the next round of GRI $1,000 from September 01. Golden Week – 10/1/24 – 10/7/24 – Please book freight in advance.
  • To USEC – With healthy inventory levels, shippers can delay bookings and monitor the ILA contract negotiation. Urgent shipments to the U.S. East Coast (USEC) can be rerouted via the U.S. West Coast (USWC), but USEC volumes are likely to weaken in September. A resolution with the ILA could prompt a freight surge to East Coast ports after Golden Week in early October. While the GRI helps stabilize rates, sustaining them without a volume increase will be tough. This may prompt carriers to introduce blank sailings. Adverse weather near Cape of Good Hope may cause further delays and capacity issues for USEC.
  • To USWC – The USWC is a bit of a different story. As the labor disruptions on USEC/Gulf and Canada rail have pushed volumes to USWC, along with the consideration of cargo rushes before China’s Golden Week holiday, a GRI is still possible for September 15.   Our transloading options with our partner LAX warehouse and intermodal partnerships may be a solution worth exploring.  For long-term named account business, carriers continue to restrict space and equipment availability as a priority measure.

Canada Rail
It could take the two largest Canadian railroads a week or more to recover from the effects of a shutdown.  While train movements were halted for less than 24 hours, CN and CPKC had embargoed shipments for more than a week leading up to the lockout deadline.

Panama Canal
Water levels at Gatun Lake have recovered, leading local authorities to ease weight restrictions for the Panama Canal.  To address future droughts, the ACP proposed a $1.6 billion project to dam the Indio River and build a 5-mile tunnel linking a new reservoir to Gatun Lake, which supplies water to the canal. This could enable 15 more ship transits daily, but the project has faced criticism from local farmers and communities whose land may be flooded.

India to North America
Rates have peaked and with new capacity we have seen some decreases.

US Exports
Ocean rates for Q3 continue to increase, driven by a surge in global demand. It’s recommended to book 3-4 weeks in advance, especially if the origin is inland.  Capacity from the U.S. to the Indian subcontinent and Middle Eastern ports has tightened, related to vessel omissions and blank sailings.

Asia to Europe
European container markets faced bearish sentiment as added capacity from liner companies caused rates to drop.  Extra loaders have come in from other trade loops and tipped capacity supply.

Air Freight

Asia to North America/Europe
Traditional air peak kicks off September through December.  Expect PSS and rate increases.  Apple’s iPhone 16 launch begins shipping in September.  Bangladesh’s operations have returned to normal. The local situation remains volatile, and there is a massive cargo backlog at origin.

📰 IN OTHER NEWS…

Tanker adrift after multiple attacks in Red Sea, UK maritime agency says
DUBAI, Aug 21 (Reuters) – A Greek-flagged tanker was adrift in the Red Sea on Wednesday after repeated attacks that started a fire on the vessel and caused
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THE WAREHOUSE WORKER WHO BECAME A PHILOSOPHER
Eleven years ago, Stephen West was stocking groceries at a Safeway warehouse in Seattle. He was 24, and had been working to support himself since dropping out of high school at 16.
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Banks mull finance curb on owners that put seafarers at risk in Red Sea
Banks that are part of the Poseidon Principles are reported to be considering curbing lending to shipowners who put their crews at risk.
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Tariffs Are on the Table for U.S. Importers, Whatever the Election Outcome
U.S. companies are pulling away from China as Democrats and Republicans increasingly impose duties on Beijing
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FedEx and DHL roll out demand-based surcharges for fall peak
Following the lead of UPS in July, fellow parcel and express delivery services providers FedEx and DHL Express introduced demand-based, or peak, surcharges earlier this month, for the fall peak season.
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Container manufacturers tell customers they are ‘sold out’ until mid-October
Drewry says it expects 2024 to be the second-highest year on record for dry freight container production, with manufacturers reporting full orderbooks.
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Panama Canal Authority sees Rio Indio project as answer to future droughts
After dealing with a historic drought for over a year, authorities for the Panama Canal are considering ways to prevent a repeat and say they need to be more customer-oriented.
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Canada railroads look to restart as union returns to work
It could take the two largest Canadian railroads a week or more to recover from the effects of a shutdown that briefly stalled billions in freight including transborder trade with the United States.
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Panama Canal Eases Limits That Caused Shipping Bottleneck
The Panama Canal is lifting restrictions that caused a global shipping bottleneck as water levels normalize after a severe drought.
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Indian Port Strike Averted After Last-minute Wage Deal Reached
Nearly 20,000 workers across major Indian ports, who had threatened to go on an indefinite strike from Wednesday, called off their walkout late on Tuesday, after agreeing to a new five-year deal.
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In our July 9, 2024, market update, we examine the persistent challenges in the global shipping industry. Asia to North America routes face equipment shortages, space constraints, and increasing rates, with new GRIs and stringent weight limits. India to North America freight rates are surging due to space and equipment issues. The Panama Canal Authority has increased draft limits and daily transits. In Europe, container rates continue to rise amidst strong demand. Air freight tonnage is also increasing as shippers seek faster transit times.

Asia to North America

Equipment shortages persist in North America. As of 07/01, a new GRI has been implemented, with the East Coast (EC) rate double that of the West Coast (WC). Carriers prefer running services to the USWC due to shorter transit times and higher spot market revenue. On the USEC, stringent weight limits set by carriers exacerbate issues, with Maersk imposing HWS fees of $400/20’ and $800/40’/HC for containers over 20 metric tons. These limits reflect limited space due to full vessels.

Space is scarce, requiring bookings weeks in advance. Shipping lines offer more services, including expedited options and guarantees for equipment and space. Extra loader (XL) space helps reduce the backlog in Asia, improving conditions for the Pacific Southwest (PSW), but the EC remains overbooked with an average delay of 7 days. As of 07/01, PSS applies to all fixed-rate contracts, and many NAC contract allocations have been reduced or not honored.

India to North America

Freight rates from the Indian Subcontinent to East Coast North America have surged in the past week on space shortage and equipment issues. Due to severe space constraint from India to US West Coast – Hapag Lloyd has introduced a new service to US East Coast Ports & then move the containers by land (Rail+ Road) to US West Coast.

US Exports

Ocean rates for second half of the year are increasing driven by surge in global demand. It’s recommended to book 3-4 weeks in advance especially if origin is inland.

Panama Canal Update

The Panama Canal Authority (ACP) has announced another increase in draft and daily transits. The maximum authorized draft was raised by another 30 cm yesterday to 14.3 m, and will increase to 14.63 m on July 11. Additionally, a new booking slot for the neopanamax locks will be added beginning on August 5, bringing the total number of transits to 35 ships per day.

Asia to Europe

Container freight rates in Europe soared in the week ended June 28, as shippers maintained strong demand into North Europe amid supply-side challenges. Rates will continue to rise in the first half of July. Despite sources remaining bullish in the near term, there was an expectation that rate hikes will curb eventually, with participants predicting August as a likely time for the slowdown.

Asia to North America/Europe

Tonnage continues to increase as some sea freight is converted to air to avoid longer transit times. Ecommerce continues to support year on year volume growth across both markets Asia to Europe & North America.

In Other News…

DOT week happens a couple times a year and each time there is a different inspection that truckers must go through that are on the road during that week.
This can vary from brake checks, engine checks, headlight checks, etc. A lot of truckers won’t be on the road to avoid any potential fines/fees which means the less drivers on the road, the harder it is to find a truck and the higher the rates will be.

Further draft and transit improvements at the Panama Canal
The Panama Canal Authority (ACP) has announced another increase in draft and daily transits.
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Ship attacked in Red Sea in latest maritime assault carried out by Yemen’s Houthi rebels
A ship traveling through the Red Sea on Thursday reported being hit in an attack carried out by Yemen’s Houthi rebels.
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Maersk sets new chartering record with deal for $150,000 a day
As liner operators become desperate for ships, charter rates have hit the $150,000/day mark.
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Rail strike in Canada likely as ‘essential services’ hurdle seems to have tumbled
Final submissions to the Canada Industrial Relations Board (CIRB) reveal neither rail companies nor union believe “essential services” will be disrupted by a strike, which could pave the way for action.
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Demand for air freight ‘perking up’, but this puts pressure on capacity
Economic growth and changing global trade structures introduce uncertain and volatile factors to the air cargo market.
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Freighter aircraft: ‘we are on the cusp of major change in large widebodies’
Even with 21% of the fleet parked, freighters will continue hauling a large share of global airfreight as the growth in bellyhold capacity slows.
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Airfreight maintains ‘remarkable’ volumes, as ecommerce soars
Existing traffic has held steady as have rates – in fact, air cargo continues to have a surprisingly good summer.
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