Tag Archive for: air freight

In partnership with Chain.io, we supported industry research to understand the complexities of CO2 compliance and data management, offering insights and best practices for shippers, supply chain teams, LSPs, and other stakeholders. Today, we are sharing everything Chain.io found in their research, including real practices and advice from shippers who are in all phases of their CO2 compliance journey.

CO2 reporting is no longer a voluntary exercise for companies with international supply chains. Regulatory pressure from the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), the SEC’s climate disclosure rules, and emerging country-level mandates are making emissions data a compliance requirement — not merely a sustainability talking point. For shippers, this means that accurate, audit-ready emissions data is becoming as important as your customs documentation and financial records.

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Why CO2 Data Management Is a Supply Chain Priority

The challenge for most companies is not the willingness to report emissions — it is the quality and accessibility of the underlying data. Freight emissions span multiple modes, carriers, subcontractors, and geographies. Consolidating that data into a coherent, verifiable emissions report requires the kind of data integration infrastructure that most supply chain teams have not yet built.

The research conducted by Chain.io identified several recurring themes among shippers at varying stages of CO2 compliance maturity:

  • Data fragmentation — emissions data lives across carrier portals, freight invoices, customs entries, and ERP systems, with no single source of truth
  • Methodology inconsistencies — different carriers and logistics providers calculate CO2 using different emission factors and scope definitions, making consolidation error-prone
  • Scope 3 complexity — freight emissions fall under Scope 3 (indirect emissions from the value chain), which is the most difficult category to measure accurately and consistently
  • Lack of real-time visibility — most shippers receive emissions data weeks or months after shipments are complete, making in-period adjustments impossible
  • Audit readiness gaps — many companies have begun collecting emissions data without ensuring it meets the evidentiary standards that regulators or auditors will require

Global CO2 Regulations and Sustainability Frameworks

The regulatory landscape for supply chain emissions is evolving rapidly. Shippers operating internationally need to understand which frameworks apply to their business and what level of data granularity each requires. Key frameworks and regulations currently shaping CO2 reporting requirements include:

  1. EU Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) — requires large companies and EU-listed companies to report detailed Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions with third-party assurance
  2. Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) — imposes a carbon price on imports of certain goods into the EU, requiring importers to report and verify the embedded carbon content of their products
  3. SEC Climate Disclosure Rules — U.S. publicly listed companies face new requirements to disclose material climate-related risks and greenhouse gas emissions in their regulatory filings
  4. International Maritime Organization (IMO) decarbonization targets — ocean carriers face their own mandatory emissions reduction pathways, which will ultimately be reflected in the services and costs they pass on to shippers
  5. Voluntary frameworks — including the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) and the Global Logistics Emissions Council (GLEC) framework, which set industry standards for how freight emissions should be measured and reported

Understanding which of these frameworks applies to your organization — and which your customers or investors may be asking you to comply with — is the starting point for building a credible CO2 reporting program. Our trade advisory services team can help you map your regulatory obligations and identify the data collection requirements that follow.

Best Practices for CO2 Compliance

The Chain.io research, informed by interviews with shippers across industries and compliance maturity levels, identified a clear set of best practices that distinguish companies making real progress on emissions reporting from those still struggling with data quality issues.

The most important insight: CO2 compliance is a data infrastructure problem before it is a sustainability problem. Companies that invest in connecting their logistics data — across modes, carriers, and geographies — unlock accurate emissions reporting as a downstream benefit of that investment.

  • Start with a data audit — map every source of freight transaction data in your organization and assess whether it captures the information needed to calculate emissions (weight, distance, mode, carrier, fuel type)
  • Standardize on a single emissions methodology — adopt the GLEC framework or an equivalent standard across all carrier relationships to ensure comparability
  • Integrate data at the transaction level — per-shipment emissions data is far more accurate and useful than portfolio-level estimates; prioritize carrier integrations that provide shipment-level emissions certificates
  • Build for auditability from day one — store raw data alongside calculated emissions figures so that your methodology can be traced and validated by auditors
  • Track emissions by trade lane and mode — understanding where emissions are concentrated in your network is the prerequisite for meaningful reduction strategies
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The Role of Data Integration in Accurate CO2 Reporting

The pivotal role of data integration in ensuring accuracy and efficiency in CO2 reporting cannot be overstated. Manual data collection — pulling emissions certificates from carrier portals, reformatting them into spreadsheets, and reconciling across different methodologies — is not scalable and is highly error-prone. It is also the approach that most companies are currently using.

Automated data integration, by contrast, allows emissions data to flow directly from carriers and logistics providers into a central platform alongside freight cost, transit time, and shipment status data. This means emissions reporting becomes a byproduct of the same data infrastructure that powers your supply chain visibility software — not a separate and burdensome process layered on top of it.

The connection to broader supply chain performance is direct. Companies that use a Control Tower platform to manage their freight operations are in a far better position to layer in emissions reporting because the underlying data connections already exist. The incremental effort to add CO2 data to an existing integration is far smaller than building emissions reporting from scratch on top of a fragmented data environment.

Taking Action: Where to Start

For shippers who are beginning their CO2 compliance journey, the most important thing is to start with honest visibility into where you currently stand. That means:

  1. Assessing your current emissions data quality — what do you actually have, at what level of granularity, and how was it calculated?
  2. Identifying your near-term regulatory obligations — which frameworks apply to your business, and what are the deadlines?
  3. Mapping your data gaps — which modes, carriers, or trade lanes are currently missing from your emissions picture?
  4. Prioritizing carrier integrations — which logistics partners represent the largest share of your emissions footprint and should be connected first?
  5. Building toward a continuous reporting cadence — the goal is monthly or quarterly emissions reporting that feeds into your sustainability disclosures without a manual scramble each period

CargoTrans is committed to helping clients navigate the evolving intersection of supply chain challenges and sustainability compliance. If you want to understand how your freight operations map against current CO2 reporting requirements and best practices, we are here to help. All you have to do is contact us.

In this CargoTrans Market Watch, we cover the freight landscape in late January / early February 2024 — a period when rate relief was beginning to emerge on some lanes while others remained constrained by Red Sea diversions, Panama Canal restrictions, and post-Lunar New Year capacity management. Understanding where relief was coming and where pressure remained helped shippers make informed booking decisions ahead of contract season negotiations.

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Canal and Routing Update

The two primary maritime routing corridors — the Panama Canal and Suez Canal — remained under separate but reinforcing constraints in early 2024. Here is how each was performing at this time.

Panama Canal

The Panama Canal Authority (ACP) increased the number of daily transit slots available for auction to 24 — up from 22 — as drought conditions eased slightly. Before the drought restrictions, the canal handled approximately 34 to 38 daily transits. The improvement meant containerships were finding it easier to reserve slots, particularly as dry bulk and other shipping sectors continued to reduce their Canal routing. The progressive slot recovery was a positive signal for transpacific US Gulf and East Coast services dependent on Canal routing, though full normalization remained months away.

Suez Canal / Red Sea

Houthi attacks in the Red Sea continued without resolution, and vessel diversions around the Cape of Good Hope remained the operating reality for most major container carriers on Asia-Europe trades. The resulting longer service loops — adding 10-14 days to voyage times — were creating structural capacity reduction on these lanes that sustained rate levels even as post-peak demand moderated. The operational cost implications of higher fuel consumption and extended vessel cycles were expected to keep base rates elevated through the contract season.

Ocean and Air Freight Rate Outlook

The rate environment in early February 2024 was characterized by post-Lunar New Year adjustments on transpacific lanes and continued pressure on Europe and transborder trades. Understanding the trajectory for each major lane was essential for shippers entering contract negotiations during this period.

Asia to North America

February rate visibility was challenging as carriers delayed publishing post-Lunar New Year rate levels. The anticipated trajectory: rate levels falling 20-30% in the weeks following the holiday as demand moderated and carrier capacity adjusted to diversion-extended service loops. Key factors sustaining elevated baseline rates despite the expected decline:

  • Higher fuel costs from Cape of Good Hope routing adding to carrier operating costs
  • Elevated insurance premiums for Red Sea trade lane exposure
  • Carrier blank sailing programs designed to manage capacity and sustain rates ahead of contract season
  • Structural service loop elongation requiring more vessels to maintain equivalent weekly frequency

Europe to North America

Carriers continued to blank and cut capacity on the Europe-to-North America trade as tonnage was redirected to support Red Sea diversion adjustments on the more profitable Asia-Europe lanes. Rates were expected to continue rising on this trade as carriers shifted vessels to lanes where the capacity premium was highest.

Air Freight

Air freight rates continued to increase ahead of Lunar New Year as some ocean freight shipments diverted to air to avoid extended ocean transit times. Rate normalization was expected following the Lunar New Year holiday period as demand patterns rebalanced and ocean schedule reliability gradually improved.

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Post-Lunar New Year Outlook and Shipper Guidance

The weeks following Lunar New Year typically mark the moment when the freight market resets from the holiday-season peak. In 2024, that reset was complicated by the structural changes imposed by Red Sea diversions and Canal restrictions. Here is what the CargoTrans team expected for the post-holiday period:

  1. Stability improvement in 4-6 weeks: Carriers and supply chains were expected to adjust to new service loops and routines, with schedule reliability beginning to improve as new timetables were adopted
  2. Rate reductions on transpacific: February post-Lunar New Year rate declines of 20-30% were anticipated on Asia-West Coast lanes as demand moderated
  3. Continued blank sailings: Carriers would use blank sailing programs to manage the rate decline and maintain elevated rate floors ahead of contract negotiations
  4. Intermodal routing for East Coast cargo: Shippers with East Coast-bound freight were advised to consider routing via West Coast ports with transload or rail connections where cost-effective
  5. Extended booking lead times: Winter weather, schedule volatility, and blank sailings all reinforced the need to book further ahead than normal to secure space and equipment

Market Intelligence for Contract Season Preparation

For shippers entering annual contract negotiations in early 2024, the rate environment created both challenges and opportunities. Carriers were managing capacity aggressively to sustain rates — but the underlying demand signal, particularly on transpacific lanes, was softening. Shippers with strong volume commitments and multi-lane programs were in the strongest negotiating position.

CargoTrans’s supply chain visibility software tracks live carrier schedule reliability and rate trends across all active trade lanes. The Control Tower platform provides the carrier performance data — transit time consistency, on-time delivery rates, exception frequency — that supports data-driven contract negotiations rather than carrier-provided benchmarks. Our supply chain risk management tools help model the routing and rate scenarios your team needs to evaluate before locking in annual commitments.

For tariff modeling across different origin scenarios, use our tariff calculator to incorporate the full landed cost picture into your sourcing decisions alongside freight rate projections. Questions? Contact us to speak with a specialist.

If you've been watching ocean freight rates in late 2023, you've noticed a pattern that resembles yo-yo dieting: carriers announce a General Rate Increase (GRI), shippers resist, rates slide back, and the cycle repeats. Here's why carrier GRI discipline — or the lack of it — is shaping your freight costs right now.

Panama Canal Restrictions Are Reshaping Routing Decisions

Starting November 2023, the Panama Canal Authority reduced daily transits from 36 to 31, potentially introducing 2–3 day delays for container services on eastbound routes. Vessels are near 100% utilization on a tonnage basis due to draft restrictions, but not on a TEU basis — meaning light cargo moves, but heavy shipments face weight-based restrictions.

Despite these delays, the Panama Canal remains a faster route than the Suez Canal for most Asia-origin ports. For shippers with time-sensitive cargo or heavy consignments, consider these alternatives:

  • U.S. or Canadian West Coast with inland rail or truck to final destination
  • All-water East Coast routing via Suez — adds transit days but avoids draft restrictions
  • Air freight for genuinely time-critical cargo

Discuss routing options with your freight forwarder before committing to bookings — the cost difference between routing options can exceed $300/TEU depending on lane and timing.

Why Carrier GRIs Are Mimicking Yo-Yo Dieting

Market rates remain below pre-pandemic levels as carriers push blank sailings to tighten capacity and support rate increases. The strategy mirrors yo-yo dieting: short-term restriction produces temporary results, but without sustained discipline, the market reverts to baseline.

The November GRI effectiveness will hinge entirely on carrier discipline. Key data points:

  • TAC Index: Rates out of China to the U.S. up 6%; rates from Hong Kong to North America up 14% in the past month
  • Freightos FAX: Rates from South Asia to North America jumped 12.5% since start of October; South Asia to Europe rose 21% (in the 100kg–300kg category)
  • Creating artificial demand through capacity withdrawal has not proven to be a reliable long-term strategy for carriers — shippers with flexible timing can wait out GRI cycles

The bottom line: carriers still haven't re-established the market conditions that give them back control of freight rates. Shippers who work with experienced freight forwarders tracking these cycles in real time hold a significant advantage.

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What Is a Blank Sailing and How Does It Affect Your Costs?

A blank sailing occurs when a carrier cancels a scheduled vessel departure, either entirely or for specific ports. Carriers use blank sailings to reduce available space on a trade lane — artificially tightening supply to support rate increases. For shippers, blank sailings cause:

  • Booking displacement: Your cargo gets rolled to the next available sailing, adding 7–14 days to transit
  • Rate exposure: If your contract or quote expires before rebook, you may face higher spot rates
  • Planning disruption: Inventory buffers get consumed faster than planned, especially for just-in-time supply chains

Monitoring blank sailing announcements 4–6 weeks ahead gives importers time to pre-book, adjust safety stock, or evaluate alternative carriers. This is one of the core functions CargoTrans provides through Captain Control Tower.

Rate Trends by Trade Lane (Week of November 2, 2023)

Trade Lane Trend Key Factor
China → North America +6% (month) Blank sailing discipline + Panama restrictions
Hong Kong → North America +14% (month) TAC Index — outperforming China lane
South Asia → North America +12.5% (since Oct 1) Freightos FAX — accelerating uplift
South Asia → Europe +21% (since Oct 1) 100–300kg category; demand recovery

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a General Rate Increase (GRI) in ocean freight?

A General Rate Increase is a carrier-announced, across-the-board rate hike applied to a specific trade lane. Carriers typically announce GRIs 30 days in advance. Whether a GRI “sticks” depends on market supply and demand — in soft markets, shippers reject GRIs by booking spot. In tight markets (peak season, disruptions), GRIs hold and compound quickly. Monitoring GRI calendars 4–6 weeks ahead is essential for freight budgeting.

How long does a GRI typically last?

Effective GRIs can hold for 2–8 weeks before market forces erode them. Carriers attempt to sustain GRIs through coordinated blank sailings and capacity management. However, when multiple carriers compete for the same cargo, the incentive to undercut a GRI is strong. In the Q4 2023 environment, most GRIs were lasting 2–4 weeks before softening.

Should I book now or wait for rates to come down?

This depends on your operational flexibility. If you can absorb a 2–4 week delay in receiving cargo, waiting through a GRI cycle may save $300–$800/TEU. If your inventory position is tight or your lead time is fixed, booking before a GRI announcement is cheaper. Your freight forwarder should help you model this decision based on your specific trade lane and timing. Contact CargoTrans for a rate timing analysis.

How do blank sailings affect delivery timelines?

Each blank sailing on your carrier typically adds 7–14 days to transit if your booking gets rolled. During periods of heavy blank sailing activity — like late 2023 — cumulative rollings can add 3–5 weeks to supply chain lead times. Building a safety stock buffer of 3–4 extra weeks and monitoring sailing schedules through a platform like Captain helps protect against disruption.